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Numbers Don't Lie

71 Stories to Help Us Understand the Modern World

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"Vaclav Smil is my favorite author… Numbers Don't Lie takes everything that makes his writing great and boils it down into an easy-to-read format. I unabashedly recommend this book to anyone who loves learning."—Bill Gates, GatesNotes
From the author of How the World Really Works, an essential guide to understanding how numbers reveal the true state of our world—exploring a wide range of topics including energy, the environment, technology, transportation, and food production.

Vaclav Smil's mission is to make facts matter. An environmental scientist, policy analyst, and a hugely prolific author, he is Bill Gates' go-to guy for making sense of our world. In Numbers Don't Lie, Smil answers questions such as: What's worse for the environment—your car or your phone? How much do the world's cows weigh (and what does it matter)? And what makes people happy?
From data about our societies and populations, through measures of the fuels and foods that energize them, to the impact of transportation and inventions of our modern world—and how all of this affects the planet itself—in Numbers Don't Lie, Vaclav Smil takes us on a fact-finding adventure, using surprising statistics and illuminating graphs to challenge conventional thinking. Packed with fascinating information and memorable examples, Numbers Don't Lie reveals how the US is leading a rising worldwide trend in chicken consumption, that vaccination yields the best return on investment, and why electric cars aren't as great as we think (yet). Urgent and essential, with a mix of science, history, and wit—all in bite-sized chapters on a broad range of topics—Numbers Don't Lie inspires readers to interrogate what they take to be true.
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    • Kirkus

      April 1, 2021
      An assembly of short, numbers-based investigations into important questions of the day. "My goal is to demonstrate not only that numbers do not lie, but to discover which truth they convey," writes Smil of this tidy, entertaining collection of brief inquiries into a host of hot-button topics: vaccinations, the malleability of unemployment figures, the consequences of diesel fuel, the fossil fuels behind wind turbines, the environmental impact of cars and cellphones, and the realities of Brexit. Regarding the last, the author writes that the U.K. has become "another has-been power whose claim to uniqueness rests on having too many troubled princes and on exporting costumed TV series set in fading country mansions staffed with too many servants." Some of the more lighthearted material--e.g., the surprising number of benefits that tall people enjoy--help take the sting out of the more formidable issues: why replacing kerosene with biofuels to power our airplanes would require the planting of 125 million hectares with soybeans; the ubiquity of synthetic fertilizer, without which more than 3 billion people could go hungry; the glacially slow pace of alternative energy. Though all of Smil's subjects--from the "zoomass" of cows to the physics of triple-paned windows to the manual labor required to build the pyramids--are situated firmly within the realms of math and science, with plenty of kilonewtons and exajoules, the author also slips in cogent discussions of other relevant current-affairs topics, including the flawed yet enduring concept of American exceptionalism: "Politicians may look far and wide for evidence of [it], but they won't find it in the numbers, where it matters." Throughout, Smil's viewpoint is balanced, and each element of the text is fully backed by research as well as the author's contagious curiosity. Even when examining dire circumstances, Smil keeps readers engaged. A fascinating book to be read straight through or consulted bit by bit.

      COPYRIGHT(2021) Kirkus Reviews, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    • Booklist

      April 15, 2021
      Prolific author, environmental scientist, and policy analyst Smil collects 71 short columns he wrote for IEEE Spectrum, journal of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers. Not to worry, these stories aren't technical, though figures abound. Within an eclectic topical range encompassing energy production, transportation, machines and devices, food production and consumption, and demography, Smil uses numbers to pin down the facts. Renewable energy, while environmentally desirable, costs more for consumers, and the manufacturing of photovoltaic cells and wind turbines still requires fossil fuels. Smil's essay about commercial aviation underscores the fact that there is as yet no surefire substitute for the kerosene fuel jets use. Ditto for the diesels that propel railroad locomotives and ships. Looking to agriculture, Smil describes parameters of wheat, poultry, and beef production, and decries the scale of wasted food. Smil also addresses other environmental concerns such as the atmospheric elevation of carbon dioxide and the future of elephants and bluefin tuna, and in each essay, his literary and numeric clarity guarantees that readers will learn new facts and gain new perspectives.

      COPYRIGHT(2021) Booklist, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

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